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INDIA’S TRANSFORMATION INTO A TRUE BLUE-WATER NAVY

India’s aspiration of a modernised blue-water navy is coming to fruition. Under Project 75, six Scorpene class submarines are under construction at the East Yard of Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (MDL) in collaboration with and transfer of the latest naval technology from French company DCNS (the contract of which is estimated at $3.5 billion). Technologies include the SUBTICS integrated combat system, a computerized central management system managing the submarine’s sensors and weapons. The Scorpene class of submarines are designed to be stealthily silent under water.

Scorpene Class Submarine Launches

In April 2015, the Kalvari (the first of the Indian Navy’s Scorpene class submarines), undocked at Mazagon Dock. In March 2017, the Kalvari successfully test-fired an Exocet SM 39 anti-ship missile and in May 2017, a torpedo.

In January 2017, the INS Khanderi was the second of the Scopene class submarines to launch. In June 2017, the submarine sailed from Mazagon Dock to begin its sea trials.

MDL has been the yard of choice for the Indian Navy with facilities in Mumbai and Nhava. Main activities involve the construction of state-of-the-art warships and submarines as well as a series of Offshore Patrol Vessels for the Indian Coast Guard. The Leander class frigate, INS Nilgiri, was the first modern warship to be built by MDL followed by the Godavari class (the first ship was commissioned in December 1983). The destroyer class Project-15, the last of which was commissioned in 2001, was the largest to be built in that part of the world. MDL has also constructed two corvettes for the Navy, missile boats, a cadet training ship, three new generation stealth warships under Project-17 frigates, three ships (follow-on to the Delhi class of destroyers), and a series of Border Out Posts (floating police stations).

India is continuing its submarine programme with Project 75I with five shipyards currently being considered: Hindustan Shipyard, Mazagon Dock, Garden Reach Shipbuilders and Engineers (GRSE), Larsen & Toubro, and Reliance Defense (previously Pipavav Shipyard). The foreign companies competing for the transfer of technology include DCNS of France, SAAB of Sweden, Rosoboronexport State Corporation of Russia, and ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems of Germany. All six submarines will be built in India just like Project 75. The six submarines under Project 75I will include certain parameters for weight and design, with a larger weight than the Scorpene class of submarines.

With a coastline of 7,000 km and over 1,200 islands to protect, an increased presence of Chinese submarines in the Indian Ocean, and a need for an edge over Pakistan, maritime dominance has become a priority for India. The 12 submarines under the two projects will propel India into becoming a fierce contender in the Indian Ocean and a true blue-water navy.

 

Written by Sylvia Caravotas (Satovarac Consulting) for OIDA

 

PROGRAMME ANALYSIS – JSF F-35 FROM LOCKHEED MARTIN

OVERVIEW

Referred to as the most expensive weapons programme in United States history, the $1.4 trillion Joint Strike Fighter programme, widely known as the F-35, has been arousing a fervency in defence circles in the U.S. and abroad. Yet, a dispassionate analysis of the programme is now more blatantly needed than ever before.

ANALYSIS

General Case

The unabated programme’s ambitious objective was to provide U.S. and NATO air forces with a state of the art fighter jet capable of overriding any kind of air or land opposition, which would deny western forces air supremacy over a battlefield. Designed in the aftermath of the Cold War, the F-35 programme answers to a couple of priorities with its cutting-edge capabilities crafted under the guidance of Lockheed Martin (prime contractor), Pratt & Whitney (for the engines), and thousands of subcontractors.

The first priority is the optimisation of a wide array of new electronic potentialities to dramatically extend the range of its missions whilst reducing the probability of losses during engagement against a fair nuclear adversary. The stealth airframe purposefully allows F-35 pilots to sneak into enemy airspace and strike Surface-to-Air Missile (SAM) defences while constantly remaining out of reach to any air or ground retaliation thanks to its low radar signature and exceptionally wide missile range. Besides this, the F-35 also engages new century technologies by setting up an extended digitalisation of the battlefield. The pilot’s understanding of the battle space is improved due to six optronic sensors placed at the edges of the aircraft, which collect 360° visuals displayed on the helmet to provide a sharper view of the battlefield. The connected helmet also offers enhancement of the squadron’s operating efficiency by matching targets identified by one aircraft onto another’s pilot’s helmet display system. The Multifunction Advanced Data Link (MADL) system also allows the pilot to embrace an extended view of the battlefield aggregating data from allied planes, ships, or satellite devices. The battle space digital mapping tremendously enhances the interoperability of the fighter jet (theoretically with all 5th generation aircraft and NATO standard communication devices) and its combat capabilities, strengthening F-35 squadrons efficiency in completing missions.

The second developmental axis of the JSF programme, aims at obtaining an “all in one”, omnirole fighter jet, designed to achieve a broad scope of missions from Close Air Support (CAS), homeland protection, battle space aerial supremacy, in-depth strikes on SAM defences to carrying nuclear missiles to ensure U.S. deterrence. These full scope aircraft capabilities and the operational leeway they represent for the U.S. Air Force (USAF) hastened the adoption of the F-35 to replace legacy fighters now deemed obsolete. In other words, the JSF programme was designed to retire the Air Force’s F-16 and A-10, the Navy’s F/A-18, and the Marine Corps Harriers to be replaced by three dedicated dedicated variants:

• F-35A: Designed for the sole use of the USAF and allied air forces, the A version is a conventional take-off and landing aircraft with extended range, speed, and weapon carrying capacity allowing it to more efficiently fulfil a broader range of missions. It is the only variant with an internal Gatling canon and the smallest of the three F-35 variants. The F-35A is by far the most common as 1,763 have been ordered by the USAF so far, not including multiple orders from foreign partners.
• F-35B: The short take-off and vertical landing variant aims at providing the Marine Corps with a stealth aircraft capable of operating from amphibious assault ships with a shorter deck than conventional carriers. Due to the high fuel consumption of its engines, the F-35B can carry fewer weapons and fly a shorter range than the other variants, limiting its tactical use to surgical strikes on ground targets. 340 F-35B’s will equip the Marine Corps and 138 for the new United Kingdom aircraft carriers.
• F-35C: The version features larger wings with foldable wingtip sections, enhanced landing gear, and other modifications designed to match carrier requirements. 260 of this variant will replace the older F/A-18 equipping U.S. Navy carriers and 80 will be dedicated to the Marine Corps.

There was to be a high standardisation rate (around 80%) between the three variants to limit developmental, procurement, and overhauling costs and thus provide an affordable aircraft at a cost that would not have exceeded the price of the legacy fighters it was meant to replace.
U.S. international partners are ranked on a cooperation level scale depending on their financial and technical involvement in the programme. The U.K. is the sole level one partner, Italy and the Netherlands are level two, and Turkey, Canada, Australia, Denmark, and Norway are level three. These nations contributed funds for system development and all, but Canada and Denmark, have signed agreements to procure the aircraft. Although Lockheed Martin is the lead contractor, the programme heavily relies on subcontractors from these foreign partners, which has the advantage of tightening the links between all associated countries and deter any political turnabout. In addition, Israel, Japan, and South Korea have signed on as foreign military sales (FMS) customers. Procurement amounts for international partners and FMS are still subject to fluctuations, but the current estimation lays around 612 units (mostly F-35A’s).
As for U.S. aircraft orders forecast, the 1996 programme totalled the F-35 order at 3,000 aircraft. In 2001, the overall procurement programme amounted to 2,866 units, but in 2012 it was reduced to 2,457 including 14 R&D aircraft and others dispatched to the three armies according to the above-mentioned figures.

Download our Case Study #01 (16 pages)

2017-06-06_OIDASI_JSF 2017

 

Written by Julien Brugnetti (Senior Analyst) & Nicolas Charrié (Junior Analyst) for OIDA Strategic Intelligence

THE GLOVES ARE OFF – BOMBARDIER VERSUS BOEING

Boeing’s dispute with rival Bombardier over the Canadian company’s government subsidy enabling it to sell its C Series passenger aircraft in the U.S. at below market prices is placing Canada’s order (estimated to be worth around $2 billion) of 18 Boeing F/A-18 Super Hornet fighter jets in jeopardy. A precursor to the dispute is Bombardier’s Delta Air Lines deal (estimated at $5.6 billion) for 75 C Series aircraft, with aggressive pricing strategies and discounts to seal the deal.

Boeing petitioned the U.S. Department of Commerce and the U.S. International Trade Commission to investigate the matter, which was met with opposition from the Canadian government adding tension to trade relations. A preliminary determination is expected by June 12. Canadian Foreign Affairs Minister, Chrystia Freeland, stated that Boeing’s petition is “clearly aimed at blocking Bombardier’s new aircraft, the C Series aircraft, from entering the US market.” Freeland added that Ottawa is now “reviewing current military procurement that relates to Boeing”.

The C Series is the first product from Bombardier to compete against the likes of Boeing and Airbus. Bombardier’s commercial aircraft division has had a tough time recovering funds invested in developing the aircraft. However, in 2016 Bombardier closed the $1 billion investment by the Government of Québec (through Investissement Québec) in return for a 49.5% equity stake in the recently created limited partnership – the C Series Aircraft Limited Partnership (CSALP). Further, according to the Financial Times, the Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China (COMAC) held discussions to either buy a stake in Bombardier’s commercial aircraft division or the C Series programme.

  • On June 29, 2016, Bombardier delivered its first CS100 aircraft to Swiss International Air Lines (SWISS), with commercial service commencing on July 15, 2016.
  • On November 28, 2016, the first CS300 aircraft was delivered to Air Baltic Corporation AS (airBaltic), with commercial service commencing on December 14, 2016.
  • A total of 129 firm orders and 80 options were added to the backlog from Delta Air Lines, Air Canada, airBaltic, and Air Tanzania (a combined value of $10.1 billion at list prices).

With the Delta Air Lines order, Bombardier has not only found a conduit to the U.S. market, but also landed a huge deal, making the aircraft far more desirable to prospective buyers. Boeing will have to compensate for lost fighter jet sales if Canada drops the deal in retaliation to their claim, but one thing is certain, whatever the outcome Bombardier has launched into the lucrative U.S. market with the Delta Air Lines deal and unsettled industry rivals who will continue to compete for future sales.

 

Written by Sylvia Caravotas (Satovarac Consulting) for OIDA

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